{"schema":"pm-v3","id":"eu-crypto-reg-draft-2026-07","question":"Will the EU publish a new crypto regulation draft before July 2026?","description":"Resolves based on whether the European Commission publishes a draft legislative proposal (COM document) for a new regulation amending MiCA or introducing novel EU-wide crypto rules before 00:00 UTC July 1, 2026. Existing MiCA (Regulation (EU) 2023/1114) entered force June 2023, fully applicable Dec 2024 with transitional end July 1, 2026; technical standards and reviews (due June 2027) do not qualify as new regulation drafts.","createdAt":1777651048,"endTime":1777804800,"outcomes":[{"id":0,"label":"Yes","positionId":"7469283450318114989489488348650985911199158357537601186150715706361"},{"id":1,"label":"No","positionId":"34429230117468754784156503435670616584836302780078173667254325955577"}],"resolution":{"source":"eur-lex.europa.eu (Official Journal portal)","method":"Search for 'crypto' OR 'MiCA' OR 'cryptocurrency' AND 'proposal' OR 'draft regulation' OR 'COM(2026' published before 2026-07-01; oracle confirms via official EU sites (commission.europa.eu, esma.europa.eu).","notes":"Excludes technical standards, guidelines, reports (e.g., Article 142 MiCA report June 2027), national laws, or amendments to non-crypto regs.<grok:render type=\"render_inline_citation\"><argument name=\"citation_id\">124</argument></grok:render><grok:render type=\"render_inline_citation\"><argument name=\"citation_id\">126</argument></grok:render>"},"oracle":"0x816a4B059883692F3852E82f343b96B5903b9F03","attention":{"entities":["European Commission","ESMA","EBA","European Parliament ECON","Council of the EU"],"topics":["crypto regulation","MiCA","stablecoins","DeFi","tokenization"],"signals":["legislative proposal","draft regulation","COM document","MiCA review","crypto bill"],"keywords":["EU crypto draft","MiCA amendment","crypto regulation proposal 2026","European Commission crypto"]},"conditions":null,"chain":{"id":1301,"name":"Unichain Sepolia","rpcUrl":"https://sepolia.unichain.org","explorerUrl":"https://sepolia.uniscan.xyz"},"contracts":{"hook":"0x25BB95E29B5777812b1010DE7b3e76d6aa880aCC","collateral":"0x67B6Eda1a8C1B68E44ec0eea740D54Aeb09120b6","universalRouter":"0xf70536b3bcc1bd1a972dc186a2cf84cc6da6be5d","permit2":"0x000000000022D473030F116dDEE9F6B43aC78BA3"},"osIndex":"0x47d5230946ecd280aa6d2b6e794d4725ac5ae8aea84025ef7ced381d792f4bf9"}